June 3, 2015 - 06:34 — Timothy Gillespie
NDP support up among educated, homeowners and union members.
In a surprising news release from leading Canadian political polling firm Abacus, principla Bruce Anderson calls the upcoming federal election "horserace" a dead heat.
The latest "who would you vote for tomorrow” question shows an extremely tight race, says Anderson, with the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP and the Liberals at 28%. In the provinces with the most seats and the largest sample sizes, the Liberals have a slight lead over the Conservatives in Ontario and the NDP has a sizeable lead over the Liberals in Quebec. We see a close 3-way race in BC.
A closer look at some of the demographic patterns suggests that some movement from the Conservatives towards the NDP is happening among voters 60 and older, traditionally a critical bastion of Conservative support. NDP support has also grown in the last month among those with higher levels of education, homeowners, and union members.
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